resolves to YES if the total boosts 2 months after implementation are >2x more than the boosts 2 months prior to march 18
@SavioMak I'm already spending like 100k on boosts the market profit is useless to me. I already tricked them into giving half price boosts.
@JimAusman There are 275,100,016 mana in peoples' balances, over 80 million of which is in the balances of active users. We have enough mana to buy 8000 boosts. I think we're fine.
@JimAusman That's right, 10,000 mana is nominally $100. But:
You can trade against the injected 5k liquidity yourself so it's not too hard to make some of that back
There is a massive amount of mana already in the system and many users have more than they know what to do with. Few users are paying money to boost, most are using mana.
There is strong evidence that the black market mana exchange rate is at least worse than $1 for 250 mana (see /wasabipesto/how-much-will-i-donate-to-charity-a ), so I think a boost might be less than $40.
Progress report:
Today is the 12th day.
12 boosts have been bought
On pace for 61 boosts.
Target is 41 boosts.
@SavioMak Think of it as providing a helping hand.
So many people in the past have pressed the boost button on their 100 mana market with no idea that combining boost with liquidity is just a really good idea.
@traders boosts are now proven OP and there is no reason not to buy them.
Buying a boost with your mana is a significantly better deal than entering the last charity lottery was. This is now an awesome service.
@Eliza is there a way to unsubscribe from trader pings from a specific market? I don't want to unfollow the market because I care about price changes and stuff
@MaxE I probably misused that. I wasn't supposed to put at traders because I'm not the market creator.
So far I am the only person who bought a boost under the new regime and I'm here to tell you it was AWESOME.
The market started out with:
100 mana liquidity
16% estimate
20 traders (only 1 in the last week though)
9 months of history
3.5 years max until resolution
So this is definitely a mid-cycle market.
I was interested in the question and felt like there was a solid chance the existing estimate was incorrect.
Applying the boost used 10,000 mana but pumped 5,000 of that into the AMM so now the market has 5100 mana of liquidity(!!).
Now that the 24 hour boost has expired:
25% estimate (max of 35%, never went below starting 16%)
64 traders
10,000 mana 24h volume
Incredible! The probability estimate has been nearly doubled and 10,000 mana was traded. Attracting 44 new traders to an old stale market is amazing.
Everything about the new system worked even better than I could have guessed. I highly encourage you to try boosting markets you are interested in. I'll definitely be seeking out another one to boost soon.
@MaxE all I am gonna say is I have boosted more markets than almost everyone on the entire site and I know when they hit harder than expected