If there is another well-recognized letter on AI risk by May 31, 2023, will Elon Musk sign it?
13
closes Jun 30
14%
chance

https://manifold.markets/quinesweeper/will-there-be-another-wellrecognize

Will there be another well-recognized letter/statement on AI risk by May 31, 2023?
Will there be another well-recognized letter/statement on AI risk by May 31, 2023?
48% chance. Resolves YES if there is a similar letter as the Pause Letter released by the Future of Life Institute by end of May 2023. Resolves NO otherwise. We’ll call it well-recognized if it gets signed by at least 10 big public figureheads in AI, and at least one Turing award winner. It may ad…

If the market above resolves positively, will Elon Musk sign the letter?

Related markets

Will Elon Musk do something as a result of his AI angst by 2025?94%
Will Elon Musk announce the creation of a new AI company before 2024?66%
Will Elon Musk sue Open AI before the end of 2023 in a US court?9%
Will Elon Musk step down from being Tesla CEO before May 2024?12%
Will any of Elon Musk's companies be charged with fraud by the end of 2023?18%
Will Elon Musk read or recommend the CFAR handbook in 2023?4%
Will any of Elon Musk's companies be charged with fraud by the end of 2025?26%
Will Elon Musk step down from being Tesla CEO before June 2024?15%
Will Elon Musk found another billion dollar company by 2030?37%
Will Elon Musk testify to the U.S. Congress in 2023?52%
Will Elon Musk talk to Eliezer Yudkowsky about AI alignment in 2023?31%
Will Elon Musk step down from being Tesla CEO before 2024?7%
Will any of Elon Musk's companies be charged with fraud by the end of 2024?27%
Will Elon Musk become left-coded again before 2035?18%
Will Elon Musk step down from being Tesla CEO before Apr 2024?13%
By the end of 2023, will Elon Musk claim he is an Effective Altruist?7%
Will Elon Musk step down from being Tesla CEO before Mar 2024?13%
Will Elon Musk step down from being Tesla CEO by the end of 2025?32%
Will Elon Musk be "forced out" as Tesla's CEO in 2023?8%
By June 2024, will Musk have sold another Tesla share?79%