Will any of the western balkan countries join teh EU by the end of 2025?
22
1kṀ3607
Dec 31
9%
chance

The Western Balkans consists of Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, North Macedonia, Montenegro, Kosovo and Serbia All have a perspective to accede to the European Union and hence are also called 'enlargement countries'. Market will resolve as YES if any one or more of the countries listed joins the EU by the end of 2025, NO if none join the EU by the end of 2025.

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This should be at 0.1%.

Balkan related

Current ambition, the ambitious speed, is 2030

It takes years to join the eu so this impossible, some can start the process.

@SusiEhw Some of the countries have already started the process, e.g Serbia.

@humblestumble fair point, but they are waffling on it.

predictedYES

@SusiEhw Yeah true, my mana is on Montenegro.

@humblestumble the eus existing members don't qualify under its rules (is Italy a democracy? Are renewables subsides fair trade? Etc) so expanding the eu is extremely difficult besides the countries not being interested.

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