Will Marijuana be removed from Schedule I of the US Controlled Substance Act by the end of Biden's current term?

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resolved Jan 21

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This question resolves "Yes" if Marijuana is legalized or rescheduled by executive, judicial or legislative action by the end of the current presidential term.

Also reolves yes if Biden does not complete the term but Marijuana is legalized under Kamala Harris.

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Yes, but if not by election day, then no.

I asked whether Trump would reverse this: https://manifold.markets/DanSchwarz/if-cannabis-is-removed-from-schedul

It’s odd that the legalization of pot hinges on a few unelected bureaucrats’ slow decision making, rather than congress or the president

@JonathanRay These bureaucrats wouldn't be making this decision if the President hadn't told them to. Congress could've done this years ago, but some real jerks stood in the way. Private prison lobby for one.

https://punchbowl.news/article/anne-milgram-house-marijuana-drug-enforcement-administration/

Despite changes in state law and public opinion I think the odds of federal legalization are <= 33%/year

@JonathanRay

Potentially bad timing for an otherwise reasonable bet.

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