If Cannabis is removed from Schedule 1 during Biden's presidency, and Trump wins, will he revert this within 1 year?
Basic
3
Ṁ1602026
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market is canceled if the re-scheduling doesn't happen, or if Trump loses the election. Must happen between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2026.
Based on https://twitter.com/dschwarz26/status/1785402347654692905
"Revert" here means restoring cannabis as a Schedule 1 drug, as it was prior to the April 30 2024 announcement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@DanSchwarz They said they are going to make a new market type specifically for conditional questions.
This market should be grandfathered in, any markets that users placed bets based on N/A resolution should get honored. Pivot is official May 15 I think.
Related questions
Related questions
Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025? [ACX 2024]
2% chance
If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?
42% chance
Will Marijuana be removed from Schedule I of the US Controlled Substance Act by the end of Biden's current term?
1% chance
Will the US reschedule cannabis by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will Trump sign any cannabis-related legislation during his second term?
56% chance
Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2026?
28% chance
Will marijuana be federally descheduled from a Schedule 1 illegal drug in the USA before the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will weed be rescheduled by the end of 2024?
1% chance
If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized or legalized by the midterms?
20% chance
Will marijuana be rescheduled by the US federal government by the end of 2024?
1% chance