https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
If, before august 12, the linked market falls below 4% or rises above 96% and stays there for more than 6 hours, this market resolves YES. Else resolves NO.
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@hmys this can resolve YES NO.
August 12th has arrived, and the linked market has not been below 4% at any point.
Looks like it has been convincingly debunked, and Polymarket is down to ~5%, but Manifold is still up at 13%. This question is now more about how low people will bet it for a return in a year and a half. Let's see.
@chrisjbillington What I don't grok is why that would be more of an issue for manifold (with the loan mechanic) than polymarket.
@Loop by whom? Only the Russian Anime girl. Not a proper reliable source. I'm waiting for a lab of a decent university making a proper total floating video to close the deal
@MicheleBortot Was just pointing your criteria has been met, and also that levitation doesn't prove superconductivity, e.g. graphite can easily levitate on magnets