WIll LK-99 have been convincingly debunked or proven by august 12th?

https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre

If, before august 12, the linked market falls below 4% or rises above 96% and stays there for more than 6 hours, this market resolves YES. Else resolves NO.

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

32% chance. Preprint here: https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.12008 Companion paper here with description of synthesis: https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.12037 Update 2023-07-27: Pasting my comment on resultion criteria We’re clearly all here because a) it’s fun, and b) we’re interested in room temperature s…

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ813
2		Ṁ492
3		Ṁ330
4		Ṁ267
5		Ṁ139

Name

Total profit

Ṁ813

Ṁ492

Ṁ330

Ṁ267

Ṁ139

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