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MANIFOLD
WWDC 2026 Prop Bets!
11
Ṁ575Ṁ1.1k
resolved Jun 13
Resolved
YES
Next iOS Update Previewed (iOS 27)
Resolved
YES
Next macOS Update Previewed (macOS 27)
Resolved
YES
Next watchOS Update Previewed (watchOS 27)
Resolved
YES
Next visionOS Update Previewed (visionOS 27)
Resolved
YES
Next tvOS Update Previewed (tvOS 27)
Resolved
YES
New AI chatbot-style Siri previewed (rich conversational interface)
Resolved
YES
LLM-based Siri given a concrete public release timeline ("this fall", "Q4", etc.)
Resolved
YES
Standalone Siri app announced for iPhone/iPad/Mac
Resolved
NO
Anthropic Claude announced as an Apple Intelligence model option
Resolved
NO
iOS 27 explicitly framed as a "Snow Leopard"-style stability/quality release
Resolved
NO
Option introduced to COMPLETELY disable ALL Liquid Glass transparency/translucency in iOS 27, iPad OS 27, or macOS 27
Resolved
NO
Foldable iPhone-specific iOS APIs or features shown on stage
Resolved
NO
Vision Pro 2 (or any new Vision Pro hardware) announced
Resolved
NO
Permanent Vision Pro price cut announced (any region)
Resolved
NO
New Mac hardware announced during the conference week
Resolved
NO
New AirPods model announced (any variant)
Resolved
NO
Smart home controller / HomePod with display previewed
Resolved
NO
Tim Cook says "AI" within 120 seconds of his first word in the keynote
Resolved
NO
Apple brags about total developer payouts during the keynote
Resolved
NO
Craig Federighi makes a self-deprecating joke about his hair

Which of the following will happen during Apple's WWDC 2026 (June 8-12, 2026)?

Feel free to add your own.

Resolution is based on what is shown/announced during the WWDC 2026 keynote (Platforms State of the Union counts where reasonable) and Apple's official WWDC newsroom posts. See prior years' markets for resolution philosophy: https://manifold.markets/herzog/wwdc-2025-prop-bets

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Surprisingly, Tim Cook didn't say "AI" during his entire opening monologue.

@herzog I see it's only "reduce" in the accessibility options, that's kind of surprising, IOS has loads of accessibility options.

@AlanTennant The Liquid Glass design aesthetic has been pretty disliked, especially on macOS. But will Apple in their ego have the humility to walk it back?