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MANIFOLD
WWDC 2026 Prop Bets!
2
Ṁ575Ṁ50
Jun 8
76%
Next macOS Update Previewed (macOS 27)
66%
Next iOS Update Previewed (iOS 27)
66%
Next watchOS Update Previewed (watchOS 27)
66%
Next visionOS Update Previewed (visionOS 27)
50%
Next tvOS Update Previewed (tvOS 27)
50%
New AI chatbot-style Siri previewed (rich conversational interface)
50%
LLM-based Siri given a concrete public release timeline ("this fall", "Q4", etc.)
50%
Anthropic Claude announced as an Apple Intelligence model option
50%
Standalone Siri app announced for iPhone/iPad/Mac
50%
iOS 27 explicitly framed as a "Snow Leopard"-style stability/quality release
50%
Option introduced to COMPLETELY disable ALL Liquid Glass transparency/translucency in iOS 27, iPad OS 27, or macOS 27
50%
Foldable iPhone-specific iOS APIs or features shown on stage
50%
Vision Pro 2 (or any new Vision Pro hardware) announced
50%
Permanent Vision Pro price cut announced (any region)
50%
New Mac hardware announced during the conference week
50%
New AirPods model announced (any variant)
50%
Smart home controller / HomePod with display previewed
50%
Tim Cook says "AI" within 120 seconds of his first word in the keynote
50%
Apple brags about total developer payouts during the keynote
50%
Craig Federighi makes a self-deprecating joke about his hair

Which of the following will happen during Apple's WWDC 2026 (June 8-12, 2026)?

Feel free to add your own.

Resolution is based on what is shown/announced during the WWDC 2026 keynote (Platforms State of the Union counts where reasonable) and Apple's official WWDC newsroom posts. See prior years' markets for resolution philosophy: https://manifold.markets/herzog/wwdc-2025-prop-bets

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