[Manifold Plays Chess 3] What will white play in move 2?
9
780Ṁ243
resolved Mar 9
100%4%
Bc4
14%Other
65%
Nf3
0.7%
d4
5%
Nc3
9%
f4
0.4%
Resign1
0.4%
Resign2
0.4%
Resign3
1.7%
Ke2

What will white (Manifold) play in move 2?

Check the game here: https://lichess.org/GF9YULQP
The game so far: 1.e4 e5

For each response, the average probability in the last four hours before close is measured. With 75% probability, two moves will be randomly drawn, with weight proportional to those market probabilities. With 25% probabilities, three moves will be randomly drawn in the same way. Then for each of the two or three candidate moves, a conditional market is created. The score of each move will be determined by the average probability in the last 4 hours. The move with higher score will be chosen (and the corresponding condditional market will resolve to the score one move later. The other market(s) will resolve N/A).

More details here: https://manifold.markets/harfe/will-white-win-in-manifold-plays-ch

The moves "Resign1", "Resign2", "Resign3" are legal moves.

Invalid moves or duplicate moves will be removed from consideration.

Previous move:

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