[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 9: What will white play?
8
740Ṁ611
resolved Mar 25
100%45%
Bxc6+
8%Other
42%
Qxf3
1.4%
d3
0.9%
d4
0.1%
g4
0.7%
Qe2
0.4%
Kf1
0.4%
Rh1
0.0%
Rb2
0.4%
Be2
0.4%
a4
0.5%
Rb1

What will white (Manifold) play in move 9?

Check the game here: https://lichess.org/GF9YULQP

The game so far: 1. e4 e5 2. Bc4 Nf6 3. Nc3 Nc6 4. Nf3 Nxe4 5. Nxe4 d5 6. Bd3 dxe4 7. Rg1 Bf5 8. Bb5 exf3

previous move:



For each response, the average probability in the last four hours before close is measured. With 75% probability, two moves will be randomly drawn, with weight proportional to those market probabilities. With 25% probabilities, three moves will be randomly drawn in the same way. Then for each of the two or three candidate moves, a conditional market is created.

The score of each move will be determined by the average probability in the last 4 hours. The move with higher score will be chosen (and the corresponding condditional market will resolve to the score one move later. The other market(s) will resolve N/A).

More details here:

https://manifold.markets/harfe/will-white-win-in-manifold-plays-ch

Any resign moves or draw offeers are not allowed in this move!

Invalid moves or duplicate moves will be removed from consideration.

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