MANIFOLD
What will be the cutoff for the 2024 USA IMO team?
11
Ṁ280Ṁ418
resolved Apr 22
Resolved as
60%

Resolves to cutoff - 26

Clarification: This will resolve to the index that the 6th place person has (ie people declining wouldn't lower the cutoff)

Market context
Competition Math
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ10
2Ṁ3
3Ṁ3
4Ṁ0
5Ṁ0

People are also trading

Sort by:
opened a Ṁ100 NO at 58% order

Cutoff is either 83.4 or 84.4

@DottedCalculator Actually it’s probably higher

opened a Ṁ100 YES at 59% order

@DottedCalculator 86.4

How do you resolve if the cutoff is not an integer?

@DottedCalculator I will round it to the nearest integer

@hannah What if it's a half-integer? Or is that impossible because APMO is 1/3-weighted or something?

@nathanwei APMO is weighted by 0.6

Cutoff is defined as the score of the 6th place person, right? Just checking it's not one more than the score of the 7th place person.

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy