MANIFOLD
Which Twitter successor will win out in 2025?
20
Ṁ1kṀ3.9k
resolved Jan 1
100%96%
X
0.9%
Bluesky
0.9%
Mastadon
0.9%
Threads
0.7%
Truth Social
0.8%Other

  • Update 2024-12-12 (PST): This market will resolve based on which Twitter successor has the highest number of active, non-bot users by December 31st, 2025. (AI summary of creator comment)

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ275
2Ṁ183
3Ṁ123
4Ṁ92
5Ṁ91
Sort by:

@mods resolves "X"

Any criteria for “win out”?

@JeffBerman have the highest number of active, non-bot (assuming i can find a metric for this) users by December 31st 2025

@grandhawg Ah, OK. Do you have a source for this?

I'm also curious about a source. Elon likes to RT articles about how the site has killed bots but it's very obvious there are tons of bots and disingenuous users trolling the site with bad takes/shit takes/misinformation/generally aggressive comments and they're not "real" users.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy