Which Twitter successor will win out in 2025? | Manifold

Which Twitter successor will win out in 2025?

17

1kṀ2217

Jan 1

84%

X

4%

Bluesky

3%

Mastadon

4%

Threads

2%

Truth Social

3%

Other

Update 2024-12-12 (PST): This market will resolve based on which Twitter successor has the highest number of active, non-bot users by December 31st, 2025. (AI summary of creator comment)

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Any criteria for “win out”?

@JeffBerman have the highest number of active, non-bot (assuming i can find a metric for this) users by December 31st 2025

@grandhawg Ah, OK. Do you have a source for this?

I'm also curious about a source. Elon likes to RT articles about how the site has killed bots but it's very obvious there are tons of bots and disingenuous users trolling the site with bad takes/shit takes/misinformation/generally aggressive comments and they're not "real" users.

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Will Twitter/x.com merge with or acquire Truth Social by the end of 2025?

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