MANIFOLD
Will I have a "Successful Week", based on the objective scoring criteria below? (23 February 2026, week 6)
3
Ṁ1kṀ940
Mar 1
79%
chance

From whenever I go to bed on Sunday night/Monday morning on Feb 22/23 2026 (with a hard cap of 3am EST on Monday morning) to 3am Monday 7 days later, will I meet at least 5 of the 8 goals below?

-Take adderall on 3 distinct calendar days

-Lift 2x

-Eat >=800g of protein

-Complete and submit at least 1 substantial non-course deliverable (could be my research group, job application, or anything else substantial - will solicit trader opinion if fuzzy)

-Submit all weekly coursework within 48 hours of deadline and attend at least one lecture for each scheduled class within 10 mins of start time

-Practice solo drums on 3 distinct days (ie group rehearsals don't count, solo does, even if it's just with a practice pad)

-Begin bedtime routine by 2am and be in bed with lights and phone off by 2:30am on at least 3 distinct days (again, Sunday night counts, regardless of before or after midnight)

-Leave residence by 12pm on at least 4 distinct days

These are all hard cutoffs. I.e. stepping outside for 30 seconds at 11:59am counts for the daily activation goal, but if it's at 12:01pm it doesn't.

All times EST.

This is part of an attempt to habit track and incentivize sticking to goals. I will only bet YES in this market, to incentivize myself.

Previous markets:

Week 1 (resolved YES)

Week 2 (resolved NO)

Week 3 (resolved YES)

Week 4 (resolved YES)

Week 5 (resolved YES)

Updates from last week

-Daily Activation: 3x->4x

-Protein: 750->800g

Past goal success rates:

Adderall - 4/5

Gym - 4/5

Protein - 3/5

Drums - 5/5

Class - 0/5

Research/non-class work - 3/5

Sleep - 3/5

Daily activation - 4/5

Market context
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bought Ṁ50 YES

eod1

adderall 1/3

sleep 1/3

daily activation 1/4

drums 1/3

protein 100/800g

gym 0/2

non-class work no

classes/hw missed 2

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