MANIFOLD
Will I have a "Successful Week", based on the objective scoring criteria below? (16 February 2026)
18
Ṁ1kṀ1.3k
resolved Feb 23
Resolved
YES

From whenever I go to bed on Sunday night/Monday morning on Feb 15/16 2026 (with a hard cap of 3am EST on Monday morning) to 3am Monday 7 days later, will I meet at least 5 of the 8 goals below?

-Take adderall on 3 distinct calendar days

-Lift 2x

-Eat >=750g of protein

-Complete and submit at least 1 substantial non-course deliverable (could be my research group, job application, or anything else substantial - will solicit trader opinion if fuzzy)

-Submit all weekly coursework within 48 hours of deadline and attend at least one lecture for each scheduled class within 10 mins of start time

-Practice solo drums on 3 distinct days (ie group rehearsals don't count, solo does, even if it's just with a practice pad)

-Begin bedtime routine by 2am and be in bed with lights and phone off by 2:30am on at least 3 distinct days (again, Sunday night counts, regardless of before or after midnight)

-Leave residence by 12pm on at least 3 distinct days

These are all hard cutoffs. I.e. stepping outside for 30 seconds at 11:59am counts for the daily activation goal, but if it's at 12:01pm it doesn't.

All times EST.

This is part of an attempt to habit track and incentivize sticking to goals. I will only bet YES in this market, to incentivize myself.

Previous markets:

Week 1 (resolved YES)

Week 2 (resolved NO)

Week 3 (resolved YES)

Week 4 (resolved YES)

Updates from last week

-Class: 15 mins of buffer time -> 10 mins

-Sleep: 3am -> 2:30am

-Adderall: 2x -> 3x/week

Past goal success rates:

Adderall - 3/4

Gym - 3/4

Protein - 2/4

Drums - 4/4

Class - 0/4

Research/non-class work - 2/4

Sleep - 3/4

Daily activation - 3/4

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final update: resolved YES (adderall, work, drums, activation, gym, protein)

midday 7

YES 4 (adderall, non class work, drums, activation)

NO 2 (sleep, classes)

protein 700/750g

gym 1/2

eod4

YES: 2 (adderall, non-class work)

NO: 2 (sleep, classes)

drums 2/3

gym 1/2

activation 2/3

protein 455/750g

i have an ultimate frisbee tournament this weekend so sleep/activation will probably improve

eod3

adderall 3/3

gym 1/2

drums 2/3

sleep 0/3

activation 1/3

protein 345/750g

non class work YES

>10 mins late to either thurs class -> classes NO

eod2

adderall 2/3

gym 1/2

drums 1/3

sleep 0/3

activation 1/3

protein 250/750g

non class work YES

>10mins late to any more classes -> class/school work NO

eod1

adderall 1/3

gym 1/2

drums 1/3

sleep 0/3

daily activation 0/3

protein 150/750g

non-class work YES (job application)

both monday classes >10min late

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