MANIFOLD
Will I have a "Successful Week", based on the objective scoring criteria below? (01/18/26)
11
Ṁ1kṀ3.2k
resolved Jan 26
Resolved
YES

From the night starting January 18th 2026 (as soon as I begin getting ready for bed - if I don't go to bed by midnight, then beginning at midnight January 18/19) to exactly 7 days later, will I meet at least 5 of the 8 goals below?

-Take adderall on 2 distinct calendar days

-Lift 2x

-Eat >=700g of protein

-Complete and submit at least one externally visible research deliverable (social choice theory undergrad research group)

-Submit all weekly homework on time and show up to all classes within exactly 15 minutes of start time

-Practice solo drums on 2 distinct days (ie group rehearsals don't count, solo does, even if it's just with a practice pad)

-Begin bedtime routine by 2am and be in bed with lights and phone off by 3am on at least 3 distinct days (again, Sunday night counts, regardless of before or after midnight)

-Leave residence by noon on at least 4 distinct days

These are all hard cutoffs. I.e. stepping outside for 30 seconds at 11:59am counts for the daily activation goal, but if it's at 12:01pm it doesn't.

This is part of an attempt to habit track and incentivize sticking to goals. I will only bet YES in this market, to incentivize myself.

I don't yet know what numbers are realistic. My goal is to calibrate the market easier or harder week by week to keep the goals each week doable, but productive. I estimate these initial numbers as around 50% success but I could blow past these goals or not even come close.

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Отлично!

Final update:

710/700g protein

research 1/1

adderall 1/2

5 points earned, 3 points lost. Market resolves YES

sun update

3 points earned

2 points lost

adderall 1/2

research 0/1

protein 590/700

bought Ṁ100 NO

@gorillawarfare wait so does this mean its confirmed you didn't have a successful week or is there 1 more day?

@prismatic Not a full day but end of sunday. YES resolve is likely however as i'm about to push research code in the next couple hours (however if i don't end up finishing then NO resolve is certain)

sat update

3 points earned

2 points lost

adderall 1/2

research 0/1

protein 520/700

mid fri update

3/5 points earned (sleep, gym, drums)

2 points lost (class, daily activation)

adderall 1/2

research 0/1

protein 460/700

2/3 remaining needed for YES

bought Ṁ28 NO

Even though protein is basically free point I'm betting against on the hope that things don't turn out as good, although I don't wish for that to be the case :)

@noney yeah i think im gonna up that one next week. ima try to calibrate this market week by week until i get to a point of "nothing is free nothing is impossible"

@gorillawarfare Yeah, maybe try either raising protein target by another 10-15% or gym 3 times the other doesn't have to be lifting.

Should at least make it a bit less of a free point?

thurs update

days left 3

sleep 3/3

activation 1/4

research 0/1

adderall 0/2

gym 2/2

drums 2/2

protein 425/700

missed class

points 3/5

missed points 1/3 max allowable

bought Ṁ500 YES

mid-thurs update:

went gym, missed more than 15 min of a class

points so far 2, points unattainable 1

@gorillawarfare oh and got the sleep point from last night so points so far is 3

wed update

sleep: 2/3

activation: 0/4

drums: 2/2

gym: 1/2

research: 0/1

adderall: 0/2

protein: 315/700

total: 1/5 points

tues update

5 days left

sleep: 2/3

activation: 0/4

drums: 1/2

gym: 1/2

research: 0/1

adderall: 0/2

protein: 225/700

class: on track

End-of-monday update:

6 days left

Sleep: 1/3

Daily activation: 0/4

Drums: 1/2

Gym: 1/2

Research: 0/1

Adderall: 0/2

Protein: 110/700

Classes: None missed, no homework done

0/5 points obtained, 0 failed

Monday update:

1/3 points on bedtime. 0 points on anything else

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