🏅 Top traders

⚠AFK Creator

📢Resolved to NO

Looking at their other markets, the creator clearly knows what "by" means. So this should resolve YES on the screenshot from May below. I will managram the non-bot NO holders their losses.

Edit: actually, I'm totally wrong, please disregard. The above suggests the creator is using "by 2030" to mean "at the end of 2030" for that market.

Looking more carefully at the creator's markets, they use the word "by" seemingly to mean all three of "at", "before", and "on or before", in different markets.

Actually, now that I think about it, don't they freeze the charts for the last few weeks once they announce their giveaway?? The only way I see this happening is if we get a surprise drop that somehow takes the top slot from StH, or if Javelin surges so hard it passes the 4 barrier and then some

Should resolve yes.

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@Marnix I took this to mean "at the end of the year will there be..." not "at any point in the year will there be..."

@AlQuinn ah, fair point, I guess I misread

@Marnix The creator is not here to clarify, but "by" means "on or before".

Often people use it to just mean "before" though - so much so that you could argue that's what it really means - and occasionally people use it to mean "at", as @AlQuinn is interpreting it in this market. But that is usually not what people mean, they usually mean either "before" or "on or before".

@chrisjbillington Fair and true. That said, I've come around to agreeing with @AlQuinn's interpretation here - if it was "before" here, I think that'd be trivially true to the point of being nonpredictive, since the average ratings for new albums usually start that high (and if i recall correctly, had already reached that point prior to the question)

@Marnix that is exactly my thinking: other interpretations make it trivial. I have followed RYM for a while and there is a honeymoon period on ratings that tend to decay as people beyond the core fanbase try highly rated albums. Also the algorithm takes into account broad appeal (number of ratings) rather than just highest average in the ranking, meaning that top rated albums get somewhat diluted by many who like-+but don't love--a given album.