When will Teslas no longer be able to use the web browser whilst driving?
When will Teslas no longer be able to use the web browser whilst driving?
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Currently, you can use the Tesla web browser even while actively driving. This market resolves to the year that you can no longer use this in the most recent update. Betas do not count.
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The real question is whether they get around to fixing this before FSD is actually good. I think it'll be a long time before FSD is functional, but depending on how this market seems to be going, most people think it'll take a long time for them to fix the issue anyway.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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