This prediction will be resolved as 'yes' if Google announces the public release of their AI news writing product on their official website or to the mainstream media by 11:59 PM Pacific Standard Time (PST) on January 1, 2024. Any other outcome will result in the prediction being resolved as 'no'. The resolution source will be Google's official announcements or credible news agencies.
"The tool, known internally by the working title Genesis, can take in information — details of current events, for example — and generate news content, the people said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss the product.
One of the three people familiar with the product said that Google believed it could serve as a kind of personal assistant for journalists, automating some tasks to free up time for others, and that the company saw it as responsible technology that could help steer the publishing industry away from the pitfalls of generative A.I."
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/19/business/google-artificial-intelligence-news-articles.html
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@getby are you trying to make the market about:
A) will they begin offering AI written news pieces directly to the public
B) will they give the public access to the tool? (And if so, what counts as the public?)
Also, always good to avoid "by" in market definitions. Better to use "any time before" or "available on this date" - not sure if you witnessed the debacle about the Google ai
@getby https://manifold.markets/agentydragon/will-google-search-include-a-chatbo
Title was changed after it became clear that the author meant at the end of June. comments are full of debate, was a /thing/.
@getby last question before I buy - this is specifically about a new writing product, a general purpose tool that /can/ write news wouldn't qualify?