
What will be Argentina's average annual GDP growth rate during Milei's term?
6
Ṁ392Ṁ69resolved Jan 3
ResolvedN/A
18%
<0%
15%
0-1%
19%
1-2%
11%
2-3%
9%
3-4%
9%
4-5%
19%
>5%
This is about real GDP. I will use World Bank data[1] and take the mean of the growth rates listed for 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027[2]. If this source stops reporting, I will look at another high quality dataset like the IMF.
If Javier Milei does not complete his term that started in 2023, I will resolve N/A.
The average of the last ten years 2014-2023 is -0.04%.
The average of the last four years 2020-2023 is 0.825%.
(According to IMF: https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDP_RPCH@WEO/ARG?zoom=ARG&highlight=ARG)
[1] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=AR
[2] Note that this is not the same as the average annualized growth rate over the period.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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