Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
What will be Argentina's average annual GDP growth rate during Milei's term?
6
Ṁ392Ṁ69
resolved Jan 3
ResolvedN/A
18%
<0%
15%
0-1%
19%
1-2%
11%
2-3%
9%
3-4%
9%
4-5%
19%
>5%

This is about real GDP. I will use World Bank data[1] and take the mean of the growth rates listed for 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027[2]. If this source stops reporting, I will look at another high quality dataset like the IMF.

If Javier Milei does not complete his term that started in 2023, I will resolve N/A.

The average of the last ten years 2014-2023 is -0.04%.

The average of the last four years 2020-2023 is 0.825%.
(According to IMF: https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDP_RPCH@WEO/ARG?zoom=ARG&highlight=ARG)

[1] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=AR
[2] Note that this is not the same as the average annualized growth rate over the period.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Please see instead the more liquid:

I realised a better way to frame this market, given that there is another very similar one. I will resolve this N/A. Any objections?