will top LLM models use formal methods by EOY 2024?
Basic
6
Ṁ168Dec 31
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will any model with an ELO of 1300 or higher in the LmSys arena use formal methods?
I assume that formal methods will be applied to translate informal math/coding problems/questions into their formalized definitions. The answers to these problems will then be formally verified before being provided to the user.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any foundation models/LLMs be able to reliably come up with novel unparalleled misalignments before EOY 2024?
48% chance
Will MCTS methods by used by any frontier LLM by EOY 2024
56% chance
Will I think that the top Chatbot Arena scores accurately reflect which LLMs are most capable and useful at EOY 2024?
45% chance
At EOY 2024, who will have the best LLM?
Which company will have the best LLM by the end of 2024?
Will the best LLM in 2024 have <1 trillion parameters?
30% chance
LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?
43% chance
Will a LLM/elicit be able to do proper causal modeling (identifying papers that didn't control for covariates) in 2024?
41% chance
Will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on IMO before 2026?
37% chance
Will there be an LLM which can do fluent conlang translations by EOY 2024?
57% chance