Will this question have a YES-Chance of more than 70%?
121
570Ṁ26kresolved Feb 21
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Closure Time: Random but already predetermined time between 0:01 - 23:59 UTC on 21. Feb
I will not be trading in this market.
This question resolves to YES if the predicted probability for YES on this question is greater than or equal to 70% at the Closure Time.
Resolves to NO otherwise.
This might take a moment to come up with a strategy.
Mind your impact on the predicted probabilities - and the ones others could have in the future, maybe on purpose!
Resolving NO: The current prediction is at 26% < 70%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ3,466 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,012 | |
| 3 | Ṁ824 | |
| 4 | Ṁ429 | |
| 5 | Ṁ302 |
Sort by:
@anon Market could resolve at any time and no whale has yet moved the price, abandon all hope ye who HODL yes, etc...