Closure Time: Random but already predetermined time between 0:01 - 23:59 UTC on 21. Feb

I will not be trading in this market.

This question resolves to YES if the predicted probability for YES on this question is greater than or equal to 70% at the Closure Time.

Resolves to NO otherwise.

This might take a moment to come up with a strategy.

Mind your impact on the predicted probabilities - and the ones others could have in the future, maybe on purpose!

Resolving NO: The current prediction is at 26% < 70%