Will @IsaacKing be #1 on top creators of all time leaderboard on manifold again in 2023?
26
264
แน€450
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

If leaderboard doesn't exist by then, I'll check number of traders myself. If number of traders aren't shared then I'll ask Devs. Currently he is #2, BTE is #1

Since Isaac is #2 at the time of the market creation, only his positions after the creation of this market are eligible. If no one manages to detect that Isaac was briefly #1, then I will not know about it. I request any traders who notice this to share it in the comments so that it can be verified and the market promptly resolved.

Get แน€600 play money

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predicted YES

The leaderboard on nov 23

bought แน€30 of NO

and on dec 16:

predicted NO

On Dec 20th:
1 Brian T. Edwards 53,076

2 Isaac King 51,880

Lead appears to be growing slowly to nearly 1200. Nearly 1.2 weeks worth with only a little over 1.2 wees to go. This suggests not but why did Isaac reduce his no holding to negligible level? Is he planning loads of questions which he expects to be quickly popular?

bought แน€445 of NO

On Dec 28:
1 Brian T. Edwards 53,851

2 Isaac King 52,616
Lead continues to grow to over 1200 with under 4 days left

Do you mean "at the end of 2023"?

@RobertCousineau also curious about this distinction - resolve yes if he's #1 at any point before year end, or the year closes with @IsaacKing at #1?

@shankypanky At any point

@firstuserhere Seems a bit off-putting for any potential new traders. How would a new trader know if it has already happened? Can we assume if market not resolved then it hasn't already happened?

Is it really at any point in 2023 or just after market creation?

If just after market creation then perhaps data for BTE at claim creation date could reduce this problem?

predicted YES

@ChristopherRandles Sure! Doing this

predicted YES

@ChristopherRandles Yes, if it happens, and if I see the evidence or if someone else posts it here, I will resolve it at the earliest

This market was made after Isaac went from #1->#2, so, it can only be for "after market creation" because he was 1st for the entire year or something like that. I clarified that in the description now, anyway

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