resposting

Unless I can’t count, arb with https://manifold.markets/VictorLJZ/will-gpt5-be-released-before-2025?r=VGhlQmF5ZXNpYW4

actually, presumably @firstuserhere if openai closes before 2026, presumably, this would resolve to the last option? Or NA?

@TheBayesian I think if it has already finished training, then there's a case for resolving to the Q4 2023 option

@firstuserhere I’m more asking if it hasn’t finished training, and never will because it is decontinued forever. How would the market resolve in that case?

@TheBayesian Yeah, N/A if OpenAI dissolves (and it has not already finished training by then)