When will GPT-5 finish training?
69
912
4.3k
Dec 31
5%
Q4 2023
22%
Q1 2024
36%
Q2 2024
16%
Q3 2024
4%
Q4 2024
5%
Q1 2025
4%
Q2 2025
4%
Q3 2025
1.7%
Q4 2025
2%
In 2026 or beyond

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sold Ṁ5 of Q3 2024 YES

actually, presumably @firstuserhere if openai closes before 2026, presumably, this would resolve to the last option? Or NA?

@TheBayesian I think if it has already finished training, then there's a case for resolving to the Q4 2023 option

@firstuserhere I’m more asking if it hasn’t finished training, and never will because it is decontinued forever. How would the market resolve in that case?

@TheBayesian Yeah, N/A if OpenAI dissolves (and it has not already finished training by then)