Will DALLE-3 be able to create images of people with different facial expressions?
Will DALLE-3 be able to create images of people with different facial expressions?
9
190Ṁ563resolved Oct 21
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Upon being given access to DALLE-3, I will run this prompt in DALLE-3 10 times: "a portrait of a smiling man and his frowning, sad wife"
If at least 50% of the resulting images successfully make the man look happy and the wife look unhappy, the claim resolves True. Otherwise False. I will consult @StrayClimb before resolving to ensure correct judgement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Attempt 1: Yes, no, yes, no
Attempt 2: yes, yes, yes, yes
Attempt 3: yes, yes?, yes, yes
Attempt 4: yes, no?, yes? , yes
Attempt 5: yes, no, yes, yes
The rest of the attempts are left as an exercise to the reader, as DALLE-3 crosses the minimum score required to resolve the market with these attempts. Resolves to YES.
P.S I dislike what DALLE-3 considers "happy smiling man" lol. But it does satisfy the prompt technically.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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