Will Joe Biden receive more than 51.00% of the popular vote in the 2024 general presidential election?

I’ll resolve it early if e.g. he drops out of the running or dies before then but otherwise I’ll wait for the official count to come in.

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If the third party candidates don't drop out, this is extremely unlikely. Hillary beat Trump in the popular vote and she only got 48% of the total vote. 7M people voted for other candidates in 2016.

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@MichaeldelaMaza Biden did hit 51.3% in 2020 though, which had some third party candidates (the ones this time seem slightly higher profile but I wouldn't count on it)

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