Will Joe Biden receive more than 51.00% of the popular vote in the 2024 general presidential election?
🇺🇸 US Politics🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election️ Politics2024 US ElectionElections
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Ṁ13k
resolved Jul 21
Resolved
NO

I’ll resolve it early if e.g. he drops out of the running or dies before then but otherwise I’ll wait for the official count to come in.

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bought Ṁ8,667 NO

@mods

If the third party candidates don't drop out, this is extremely unlikely. Hillary beat Trump in the popular vote and she only got 48% of the total vote. 7M people voted for other candidates in 2016.

bought Ṁ100 NO

@MichaeldelaMaza Biden did hit 51.3% in 2020 though, which had some third party candidates (the ones this time seem slightly higher profile but I wouldn't count on it)

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