Will the $80 million F-35 stealth fighter jet that disappeared be be shown to have been taken by aliens?

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550Ṁ11k

resolved Sep 19

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves yes if a consensus of bettors and other Manifold participants shows the jet was taken by aliens. Resolves no if/when the jet is found, or if a consensus shows that there was a different reason the jet went missing. This market will stay open as long as it needs to, and may be resolved prob if a consensus of the bettors agrees.

Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAPs)

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predictedNO

Should resolve as NO unless we are waiting to see if an alien jumped in the empty cockpit and then also crashed it.

@KevinLobLaw don't give the never-resolvers any good ideas

predictedNO

@SophusCorry I like the term never-resolvers. Big problem with manifold IMO

@KevinLobLaw I just made it up but I'm quite proud of it myself

Do terrestrial NHIs count as aliens?

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