I want to see more markets on this site, made by a wider variety of users - and I know most users don't have access to as much mana as I do, and creating markets can get expensive. I've seen other market creation subsidy bounty markets going around - so here's my own.
Rules:
I will only give subsidies to users with a total net worth of 10,000 mana or less. I want to prioritize subsidizing market creation for users who can't make as many markets as they'd like to - I've found that with a high enough net worth, I have enough loans and liquidatable investments that my ability to create markets is usually only limited by my ability to think of ideas. That wouldn't be the case if my portfolio was much smaller. In the event that the 10,000 mana threshold is too low, i.e. ends up excluding a lot of people who do still have trouble making as many markets as they want to, I'm willing to raise it slightly.
I will give subsidies for predictive markets only. They can be about any topic at all (ideally ones that are interesting to you as the market creator,) but they have to be designed to predict something. I'm not interested in subsidizing "will this market resolve at 50% or higher"-type markets.
I reserve the right to not subsidize a market if it breaks Manifold's guidelines or otherwise makes me very uncomfortable. This isn't likely - 99.9% of the markets I see are okay on this front - but I'm putting it in the rules anyways just in case.
How this works:
Post a market that you've created. The market must have been created after this one was.
Assuming that it meets the standards laid out in the rules, I'll subsidize the full cost of creating the market by awarding a bounty (50 mana for Yes/No questions, 25 mana per option for multiple choice markets, and 25 mana for free response questions (plus 25 mana per answer added by the creator themself.)) There's no upper limit - for a large multiple choice question, I'll still subsidize the entire thing.
If the market is one I'd also like to trade on, I'll throw in an additional 25 mana (in addition to the trader bonus from me trading on it, naturally.)
There are no fees or strings attached.
I'll add 250 mana to the bounty every day, so long as the current amount of bounty left is 1,000 or less. You can submit as many markets as you'd like to every day, but keep in mind that I will not be adding more than 250 mana in bounty every day (unless I need to in order to subsidize a large multiple-choice question.) I have a lot of mana, but not an unlimited amount.
Hi, over the past couple of days I've been working on my Battleground States category trying to engage users on what they believe the results will be from individual states in the 2024 election. I've gotten a lot of responses so far which is very encouraging and I want to continue this series with markets beyond the scope of individual states. So far I've been using my own mana to finance my markets which has made the process pretty slow so any subsidy would help me out greatly. So far, I've made 9 markets, of which you've already placed bets in all of them, so thank you for that!
https://manifold.markets/Kraalnaxx/will-super-mario-bros-wonders-metas?r=S3JhYWxuYXh4
https://manifold.markets/Kraalnaxx/what-games-will-be-nominated-for-ga-d56c61bef722?r=S3JhYWxuYXh4
Finally, the one (independently resolving) Game Awards market to rule them all! Spent 100 Mana on 4 options.
Hi, it's me again again ... (× number of times I've been asking for a subsidy) could you subsidize my markets another time, please ? :)
https://manifold.markets/nlhm/whats-the-best-love-song-which-year?r=bmxobQ
https://manifold.markets/nlhm/whats-the-best-love-song-which-year-d5612c7eddf1?r=bmxobQ
https://manifold.markets/nlhm/whats-the-best-biography-according?r=bmxobQ
Hi, another few- please have a look!
https://manifold.markets/VAfc3f/will-vladimir-putin-and-kim-jong-un
https://manifold.markets/VAfc3f/will-he-head-of-gabons-presidential
https://manifold.markets/VAfc3f/will-spacex-be-forced-to-hire-non-u
https://manifold.markets/VAfc3f/will-putin-and-xi-conduct-an-in-per
https://manifold.markets/Kraalnaxx/will-i-reach-an-unbroken-500-day-pr?r=S3JhYWxuYXh4
https://manifold.markets/Kraalnaxx/will-a-major-politician-say-return?r=S3JhYWxuYXh4
Some longer term stuff for now. Also, it looks like you're gonna make it to Masters. Congratulations!
Seems like I got Nintendo on the brain, I wonder why? 🤔🤔🤔
https://manifold.markets/Kraalnaxx/will-princess-peach-be-kidnapped-ag?r=S3JhYWxuYXh4
https://manifold.markets/Kraalnaxx/shortfuse-will-a-nintendo-direct-be-0d103fe9205b?r=S3JhYWxuYXh4
Submitting two market from my Antarctica series for subsidies consideration:
https://manifold.markets/CamillePerrin/will-activities-banned-by-the-antar?r=Q2FtaWxsZVBlcnJpbg
https://manifold.markets/CamillePerrin/will-a-billionaire-do-a-shackleton?r=Q2FtaWxsZVBlcnJpbg
https://manifold.markets/Kraalnaxx/will-i-promote-to-masters-this-seas?r=S3JhYWxuYXh4
https://manifold.markets/Kraalnaxx/will-laphonza-butler-ever-run-for-c?r=S3JhYWxuYXh4
If I'm lucky, my final battle for Manifold dominance ends this month...
https://manifold.markets/Kraalnaxx/shortfuse-will-the-october-4-united?r=S3JhYWxuYXh4
Wouldn't ordinarily double dip, but I had an idea for a short fuse and thought I should share in case you wanted to bet on it.
Here's a chance to do some market manipulation 😆
https://manifold.markets/tfae/will-manifold-have-at-least-2-engag?r=dGZhZQ
https://manifold.markets/Kraalnaxx/will-super-mario-bros-wonder-or-sup?r=S3JhYWxuYXh4
Thanks for believing in me hitting Platinum. Of course now I'm in brutal competition to get Diamond lmao. Still gonna try to make markets with any spare capital. This is the question I've made that I may be the most torn on. Will RPG be lauded for its legendary status, or dragged down by "outadated" design? Will Wonder be seen as a fresh new thing or get a middling Metascore like the Ne Super Mario Bros series?
hello, thanks again. I have another one:
https://manifold.markets/VAfc3f/will-he-head-of-gabons-presidential