Conditional on Tears of the Kingdom having DLC, when will Nintendo announce the DLC?
Conditional on Tears of the Kingdom having DLC, when will Nintendo announce the DLC?
7
660Ṁ406
resolved Sep 6
ResolvedN/A
48%
September 2023
26%
October 2023
9%Other
8%
March 2024
5%
February 2024
3%
January 2024

This market resolves to the month that Nintendo announces that Tears of the Kingdom will have paid DLC (free patches/updates, no matter the size, do not count.) If Tears of the Kingdom does not have paid DLC, and Nintendo announces as much, this market resolves as N/A. It also resolves as N/A at the end of June 2025 if Nintendo still has not announced whether or not Tears of the Kingdom will have DLC.

Gaming
Nintendo
The Legend of Zelda
The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!


Sort by:
1y

Well, looks like this one’s a bust

1y

Curious why people are betting October; there's basically always a Nintendo Direct every September, and I'd expect TOTK DLC to be announced in a Direct. I suppose it's possible that they'd announce a TOTK Direct just for the DLC, but I'd expect that announcement to be in a major Direct, and it would be sufficient to resolve this market. Off the top of my head, Splatoon 2's DLC, Splatoon 3's DLC, the Mario Kart Deluxe DLC (I think), and the Animal Crossing DLC (I'm fairly sure) were all announced in major Nintendo Directs.

1y

Direct upcoming. This market will close when the Direct begins; if DLC is announced, it resolves as June 2023. Otherwise, it reopens with the original preliminary closing date.

1y

@evergreenemily Market reopens; no info in the Direct.

Related markets:

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules