Will US population growth be >= 0.5% (annualized) over the next 5 years? | Manifold

Will US population growth be >= 0.5% (annualized) over the next 5 years?

12

Ṁ1kṀ427

2029

21%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Based on growth from end of 2023 to end of 2028

For reference:

https://www.cbo.gov/publication/58612#:~:text=In%20CBO's%20projections%2C%20the%20U.S.,population%20growth%20beginning%20in%202042.

The Demographic Outlook: 2023 to 2053

In CBO’s projections, the U.S. population increases from 336 million people in 2023 to 373 million people in 2053. Population growth is increasingly driven by net immigration, which accounts for all population growth beginning in 2042.

See also:

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will the US population be >500M by 2050?

+13% 1d33% chance

Will the US population exceed 500 million by 2050?

Will US productivity growth be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years?

Will US birth rates rise above 2.0 at any point before 2030?

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?

Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?

US population growth rate for 2025 will be

Will US inflation be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years (2024-2028)?

Will the advance estimate of Q2 2026 US real GDP growth be at least 3.0%?

Will the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?

Related questions

Will the US population be >500M by 2050?

Will the US population exceed 500 million by 2050?

Will US productivity growth be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years?

Will US birth rates rise above 2.0 at any point before 2030?

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?

Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?

US population growth rate for 2025 will be

Will US inflation be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years (2024-2028)?

Will the advance estimate of Q2 2026 US real GDP growth be at least 3.0%?

Will the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?