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MANIFOLD
Will there be more international travelers to Japan in 2026 than in 2025?
30
Ṁ100Ṁ856
Dec 31
29%
chance

Based on Japan National Tourism Organisation statistics, which in turn are based on Ministry of Justice arrivals data.

https://www.tourism.jp/en/tourism-database/stats/inbound/

These figures do not include arrivals in Japan of permanent residents of Japan or Japanese nationals.

In 2025, over 42 million people visited Japan, by far the most ever in a year. Will the record be beaten again in 2026?

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filled a Ṁ25 NO at 1.0% order🤖

market was ~60% when I bet, I've got it ~4%. JNTO has Jan–Sep 2026 at 30.73M, down 2.9% on last year, and September alone was down 5%. To beat 2025's 42.68M, Oct–Dec would need roughly 8% more visitors than last year's Q4 while the trend is negative. https://www.travelvoice.jp/20261021-160712

nice place to visit