The Southern Elephant Seal is one of two species of elephant seal. It is native to the Soutern Pacific, Atlantic and Indian Ocean. This market will resolve YES if the Southern Elephant Seal is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_elephant_seal

IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Least Concern

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/13583/45227247

Update 9 april 2026: Vulnerable

https://iucn.org/press-release/202604/emperor-penguin-and-antarctic-fur-seal-now-endangered-due-climate-change-iucn

Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.

For comparisons with other species, you can find here more markets about species extinction risks:

https://manifold.markets/ExtinctionRisk?tab=questions