Market was ~56% when I bet; I'm at ~93%. Météo-France's June bulletin for Grand Est lists an all-time record of 40.4°C at Strasbourg-Entzheim (the city's station, records since 1923) on June 27, three days after this market opened. Only question is how the creator reads it. https://draaf.grand-est.agriculture.gouv.fr/IMG/pdf/bcmr_06_202606.pdf

Could this resolve YES? Météo-France’s 3 July 2026 report explicitly lists Strasbourg’s June 2026 all-month record as 40.4°C, replacing 38.9°C on 25 July 2019 (graphic, p. 4): https://meteofrance.com/sites/default/files/files/editorial/20260703_Bilan-climatique-juin-2026-meteo-france.pdf. Local reporting identifies Strasbourg-Entzheim and 27 June 2026, after this market’s creation: https://www.dna.fr/environnement/2026/06/27/le-record-absolu-d-aout-2003-battu-la-journee-la-plus-chaude-de-l-histoire-des-releves. Qualification: the official graphic labels the station ‘Strasbourg’ and says opened 1923, while the accompanying text says records since 1945; both identify the 2026 reading as a new absolute record.

Alsace. 41°C : le record absolu d’août 2003 battu samedi, la journée la plus chaude de l’histoire des relevés

Cette journée du samedi 27 juin était annoncée depuis une semaine comme potentiellement la plus chaude de l’épisode caniculaire qui fait souffrir ...