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MANIFOLD
GPT-5.6 Outperforms Claude Fable 5 on FrontierMath Tier 4?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ221
Dec 31
59%
chance

Resolves to the next GPT model released regardless of number. Only the “stock” GPT counts, so no mini, nano, pro, codex, etc

  • Update 2026-06-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The model "Sol" will count as the relevant GPT model for this market, as its pricing is comparable to GPT-5.5.

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Okay, so for the purposes of this market I have decided that “Sol” is going to count as the relevant model here since its pricing is comparable to 5.5