Will any land currently held by the US breakaway before 2040.
19
Ṁ1kṀ3922040
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will any state, partial state or territory currently held by the United States become independent before 2040.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any US state secede before 2030?
10% chance
Will any US state secede before 2050?
24% chance
Will the US expand its territorial possessions by the end of 2031?
35% chance
Will the USA make another territorial acquisition by EOY 2035?
29% chance
Will the USA dissolve by 2034?
5% chance
Will a US state attempt to leave the union by 2100?
63% chance
Will the US annex a soveign state before the end of 2050
30% chance
Which territories will the USA acquire by 2050?
Will at least one state secede from the USA before the year 2100?
46% chance
Which US Territories will be a part of a US State by 2045?