Will AGI happen before GPT-67 is released?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ4192099
92%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes iff it is established by consensus (say other manifold markets) that AGI happens before the release of a model called GPT-67 by OpenAI.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2028?
14% chance
Will we get AGI before September 1st 2027?
13% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
44% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
29% chance
Will we get AGI before 2037?
64% chance
Will we get AGI before 2048?
83% chance
Will we get AGI before 2038?
65% chance
Will we get AGI before 2036?
57% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2026?
2% chance
Will GPT-6 be considered to be AGI?
4% chance