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MANIFOLD
Will a Republican win Vermont for President by 2050?
2
Ṁ90Ṁ119
2050
20%
chance

Resolves YES if a Republican wins Vermont in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.

If another party displaces the Republicans and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.

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