Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
24
Ṁ725Ṁ1.4k2031
20%
Tarcísio de Freitas
8%
Rafael Fonteles
8%
8%
Flávio Bolsonaro
8%
Camilo Santana
8%
Geraldo Alckmin
7%
Nikolas Ferreira
6%
André Janones
5%
Fernando Haddad
3%
Gusttavo Lima
3%
Jair Bolsonaro
2%
Ronaldo Caiado
2%
Flávio Dino
2%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1.7%
Pablo Marçal
1.5%
Rosângela Lula da Silva
1.5%
Ratinho Junior
1.2%
Romeu Zema
1.1%
Eduardo Leite
1.1%
No one
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2030 Brazilian presidential election.
This market's closing date, currently 6 January 2031, may be pushed back if needed to ensure that it can stay open until the results are clear.
If no presidential election is held in Brazil in 2030, this market shall resolve to "No one".
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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