Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ140Oct 4
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
83%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
50%
Flávio Bolsonaro
8%
Tarcício de Freitas
10%
Fernando Haddad
Resolution criteria
A candidate must receive more than 50 percent of the vote in the first round to win outright. If no candidate does so, the top two candidates head to a runoff. The first round is scheduled for October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25 if needed. Resolution will be based on official results reported by the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE) at https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/. A candidate resolves "Yes" if they advance to the runoff or win outright in the first round; otherwise "No".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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