Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
8
Ṁ1kṀ673Dec 31
82%
European Central Bank
78%
Reserve Bank of New Zealand
74%
Bank of Japan
60%
Bank of England
50%
Bank of Korea
41%
Reserve Bank of India
41%
Bank of Canada
37%
People’s Bank of China
34%
Swiss National Bank
21%
US Federal Reserve
Resolves YES iff the relevant bank hikes interest rates, by any amount, at any point in 2026, according to multiple credible news sources.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
24% chance
Will European Central Bank cut interest rates before June 2026?
18% chance
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at the April 29, 2026 FOMC meeting?
2% chance
ECB rate hike in 2026?
85% chance
Fed rate hike in 2026?
23% chance
Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
57% chance
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
21% chance
Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates before 2028?
69% chance