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MANIFOLD
Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
21
Ṁ1kṀ4.5k
Dec 31
59%
US Federal Reserve
40%
Bank of England
30%
Bank of Canada
30%
Reserve Bank of India
27%
Swiss National Bank
22%
People’s Bank of China
Resolved
YES
European Central Bank
Resolved
YES
Bank of Japan
Resolved
YES
Bank of Korea
Resolved
YES
Reserve Bank of New Zealand

Resolves YES iff the relevant bank hikes interest rates, by any amount, at any point in 2026, according to multiple credible news sources.

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