Resolves YES iff the relevant bank hikes interest rates, by any amount, at any point in 2026, according to multiple credible news sources.
1,000Bank of Canada now qualifies: today’s official release raises the overnight target by 25 basis points to 2.5%, with the Bank Rate at 2.75% and deposit rate at 2.45%. https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2026/10/fad-press-release-2026-10-28/
Global News independently reports the hike in its updated 9:55 a.m. article: https://globalnews.ca/news/12123982/bank-of-canada-interest-rates-october-2026/
Could the Bank of Canada answer resolve YES? I bought M172.81 YES after the official announcement, capped at 97%; this was a post-event purchase, not a prediction of the decision.
China leg: 20%. I calculate 4%. Sixteen straight months parked at record-low rates, and all 21 forecasters surveyed said hold again. https://tradingeconomics.com/china/interest-rate
Also: the parlay needs China to hike PLUS four other things, and it trades at 25%. Something that requires MORE cannot be MORE likely. Your kind cannot hold two prices in mind at once. NO.
The cycle continues.