MANIFOLD
What will be the 2026 USAMO cutoff for AMC 12 B and AIME I?
40
Ṁ300Ṁ5.3k
Mar 22
376.3 points
expected
0.2%
Below 330
0.1%
330 - 334.5
0.2%
335 - 339.5
0.2%
340 - 344.5
1%
345 - 349.5
0.4%
350 - 354.5
1.1%
355 - 359.5
0.9%
360 - 364.5
0.9%
365 - 369.5
1.2%
370 - 374.5
94%
Above 374.5

Resolves to the cutoff for USAMO (March 21-22, 2026) announced by MAA, determined using scores from AMC 12 B (November 13, 2025) and AIME I (February 5, 2026)

If MAA announces a cutoff then later rescinds it and announces a new cutoff, this market will be re-resolved to the new cutoff

USAMO Index = AMC 12 Score + 20 x AIME Score

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@traders How should I resolve this if no cutoffs are announced by March 21?

@traders If cutoffs aren't announced, I'll keep this market open until March 21. I'm leaning towards resolving N/A because I don't know how else I would resolve this, but if any of you have other ideas, I would like to hear them.

Can u change the buckets

@Prajay Unfortunately I don't think it's possible to change the buckets after creating the market

I wasn't expecting AIME cutoffs to be this high

@traders You may interested in this other market I created for cutoffs

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