New Jersey's 9th District margin of victory
8
Ṁ925Ṁ11k2027
92%
Pou, 2+ pts
84%
Pou, 5+ pts
75%
Pou, 8+ pts
68%
Pou, 11+ pts
57%
Pou, 14+ pts
37%
Pou, 17+ pts
24%
Pou, 20+ pts
13%
Pou, 23+ pts
10%
Pou, 26+ pts
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-nj09d
Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 9th District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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