California's 12th District margin of victory
2
Ṁ250Ṁ272027
63%
Lateefah Simon, 50+ pts
50%
Lateefah Simon, 55+ pts
50%
Lateefah Simon, 45+ pts
50%
Lateefah Simon, 60+ pts
50%
Lateefah Simon, 40+ pts
50%
Lateefah Simon, 65+ pts
50%
Lateefah Simon, 35+ pts
50%
Lateefah Simon, 30+ pts
50%
Lateefah Simon, 25+ pts
76%
Lateefah Simon, 20+ pts
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim
Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 12th District by 50 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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