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Jeremy Rockliff II Tasman Premiership prop bets (2025-next election)
5
Ṁ275Ṁ705
2029
80%
Another early state election before 2029
66%
Second VONC Called
50%
Second VONC Succeeds
34%
Liberals form supply and confidence agreement in support of Rockliff
22%
Liberals form coalition agreement in support of Rockliff
17%
Labor forms government/Labor MP holds Premiership at any point
4%
Labor-Green formal coalition in government (with or without formal independent support)
Resolved
YES
VONC called
Resolved
YES
Rockliff leads minority government for at least 1 year

Liberal Jeremy Rockliff has been reappointed Premier of Tasmania following the 2025 Tasmanian state election. This election, called after just 1 year followed his ousting by a Labor-backed Vote of No Confidence, supported also by 5 Green MPs and 2 of the 5 Independent MPs. Overall parliamentary composition remained very similar, and with no party having been able to form a majority government so far the governor appointed Rockliff, who will have ~2 weeks to form government or face a potential VONC from Labor.

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bought Ṁ100 NO

@mods creator inactive The Governor's reasons document dates Rockliff's reappointment to August 6, 2025, and the Tasmanian Government's current official profile still identifies Jeremy Rockliff as Premier after that one-year anniversary. The at-least-one-year leg is therefore YES, while an early election within one year is NO.