An open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26
10
Ṁ100Ṁ529Dec 31
86%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
LMArena, text, overall, style control on.
An open weight model get above "claude-opus-4.7” by the end of the year 2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
A 70B model beats Opus 4.7 on LMArena
1/24/27
Weights in largest open-weight AI model before October 2026?
Open Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?
85% chance
Weights in largest open-weight AI model before 2027?
Opus 4 revived by EoY 2026?
16% chance
Google model beats Anthropic on LMArena by EOY26
43% chance
Will an Open Weights Model be #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index in 2026
28% chance
Will a US open-weights LLM outrank every Chinese open-weights LLM on LMArena at the end of 2027?
19% chance
Will OpenAI Astra beat Opus 5 on Artificial Analysis
93% chance
Claude 3 Opus model weights publicly available by EOY 2030?
23% chance