Weights in largest open-weight AI model before 2027?
15
Ṁ1.2kṀ3.6kDec 31
81%
3T+
80%
3.5T+
18%
4T+
14%
4.5T+
12%
5T+
Resolved
YES1.75T+
Resolved
YES2T+
Resolved
YES2.5T+
Total parameters
At market creation (2026-06-25), the largest open weight model is DeepSeek V4 by DeepSeek, with 1.6T total parameters.
This market will only consider models that are "pretty good", and will exclude exceedingly large but useless models. For example, someone initializing 100T weights at random and uploading the weights online would not count for the purpose of this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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