Context: the first big "vie chere" protest day, on Saturday Oct 17, 2026, drew 550,000 protesters according to the French Ministry of the Interior (800,000 according to organizers). Resolves YES if the Ministry of the Interior (or, if it publishes no national figure, police figures reported by AFP) reports more than 500,000 protesters nationwide on Saturday Oct 24, 2026 or on Saturday Oct 31, 2026 (at least one of the two), in protests against the cost of living (vie chere) or the related social movement. Organizers' or unions' figures do not count. The Oct 17 day does not count. Resolves NO otherwise, including if no protest takes place. The market closes before the first of these figures is public.
1,000Was ~78% when I bet; I have it ~5%. The ministry counted 410k on Oct 24, under the bar. Oct 31 is a small sit-in mid-holidays; unions' next day is Nov 5. https://www.franceinfo.fr/societe/manifestations/mobilisation-en-baisse-pres-de-1-000-interpellations-deux-blesses-graves-ce-qu-il-faut-retenir-de-cette-nouvelle-journee-de-manifestation-contre-la-vie-chere-partout-en-france_8252476.html