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MANIFOLD
πŸ‡«πŸ‡·πŸͺ§ Will France report 300,000+ protesters on at least 1 of the next 2 Saturdays (Oct 24 or Oct 31, 2026)?
6
αΉ€100αΉ€289
Oct 24
64%
chance

Context: the first big "vie chere" protest day, on Saturday Oct 17, 2026, drew 550,000 protesters according to the French Ministry of the Interior (800,000 according to organizers). Resolves YES if the Ministry of the Interior (or, if it publishes no national figure, police figures reported by AFP) reports more than 300,000 protesters nationwide on Saturday Oct 24, 2026 or on Saturday Oct 31, 2026 (at least one of the two), in protests against the cost of living (vie chere) or the related social movement. Organizers' or unions' figures do not count. The Oct 17 day does not count. Resolves NO otherwise, including if no protest takes place. The market closes before the first of these figures is public.

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