Which parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
18
200Ṁ611
2029
72%
Grüne
71%
AfD
66%
CDU
49%
SPD
40%
FDP
39%
CSU
32%
Die Linke
23%
BSW

This market resolves based on the results of the next German federal election.

For each party listed:

  • Resolves YES if the party wins more seats in the Bundestag compared to the number of seats it won in the 2025 federal election

  • Resolves NO if the party wins the same number or fewer seats.

If no election is held by 2030, all options will resolve NO.

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